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Cash-settled hedging for steel procurement

Turn commodity price volatility into a board controlled cost range.

Commodity Hedging & Trading helps procurement teams translate benchmark-linked cargo exposure into hedge policy, instrument choice, collateral planning, and procurement-margin scenarios.

Not a promise of savings. A hedge can reduce benchmark price exposure while leaving basis, liquidity, collateral, and execution risk.

Physical book

100-180kt/month

floating index exposure

Derivative book

SGX / OTC

cash-settled structures

Risk lens

effective ore cost

after hedge P/L

Bulk commodity conveyor belt moving cargo toward a sea port

Shock readout

+$18/t benchmark move

At 150kt, the unhedged procurement delta is $2.7m before freight, grade premia, and steel-price lag.

IODEX basisCFR China 61% Fe2026 spec
Primary usebenchmark riskcash-settled
Mill exposureore + freight + gradebasis watch
Strategy menuswap / call / collarpolicy-led
Liquidity lensmargin + tenortreasury
Outcomecost rangenot guarantee

Tape values are illustrative, not live licensed market data.

Exposure map

Hedging starts by naming the risk that actually hits the mill.

A derivative can settle cleanly against an index, while the cargo invoice still contains grade, freight, moisture, port, timing, and contract-basis differences. Good hedge design separates those lines before execution.

Index basis

Which benchmark prices the cargo: IODEX CFR China, 58% Fe, 65% Fe, lump premium, port stock, or brand differential.

Quality basis

Fe content, alumina, silica, phosphorus, moisture, sinter feed mix, lump ratio, and the premium or penalty against benchmark.

Delivery basis

CFR/FOB terms, freight, laycan, port, inspection date, and the mismatch between physical pricing and derivative settlement.

Margin basis

Finished steel price lag, coke and coal cost, billet or HRC realization, and the mill's tolerance for cash-flow volatility.

Instrument choice

The right hedge is a policy decision before it is a trade.

The site models cash-settled hedge economics for a steel buyer. Real execution should be handled through licensed counterparties and cleared or documented channels.

01

Long futures or swap

Budget certainty

Offsets benchmark price rises but gives back some benefit if the index falls.

No option premium, but mark-to-market and margin calls matter.

02

Long call option

Upside protection

Protects above the strike while letting the mill benefit from lower physical prices.

Premium is paid up front or embedded in structure economics.

03

Buyer collar

Lower premium range

Caps upside exposure and gives up some downside benefit below the put strike.

Can reduce premium, but introduces a floor-style obligation.

Procurement desk simulator

Test how the hedge changes the mill's effective ore cost.

Physical ore cost minus cash-settled derivative P/L equals effective cost. Option premium is included in derivative P/L for calls and collars. This model is simplified for policy discussion.

Scenario presets

Choose a hedge posture

Instrument

Select payoff shape

Strong budget protection, but lower index settlements can create derivative losses.

Effective benchmark-linked ore cost

$108.25/t

Long futures / swap

Variance vs budget

$510,000

Derivative P/L

$1,170,000

Hedged volume

78,000t

Physical cost before hedge

$14,160,000

The cash purchase exposure before derivative offset.

Option premium

$0

No option premium in the simple swap model.

Sensitivity

Effective cost by settlement

$84/t$96.35/t
$104/t$103.35/t
$118/t$108.25/t
$138/t$115.25/t
What this readout means
A positive derivative P/L can offset higher physical ore cost. A negative derivative P/L is not automatically failure if the policy objective was cost certainty. The model excludes freight, grade premia, FX, taxes, clearing fees, and credit limits.

Governance and impact

The impact is not just price. It is liquidity, margin, and board control.

Hedging may stabilize procurement cost, support budgeting, and reduce earnings volatility. It can also create mark-to-market losses, collateral calls, and basis mismatches. A serious program makes those tradeoffs visible before the first lot is placed.

Hedge ratio

Set protected tonnes by budget risk, production certainty, and board tolerance.

Tenor ladder

Layer monthly lots instead of concentrating risk into one execution window.

Collateral plan

Pre-approve margin liquidity so a correct hedge does not become a cash crisis.

Basis review

Report grade, freight, FX, tax, and physical contract mismatch separately from derivative P/L.

What the v1 model excludes

The calculator is a policy lens, not a trading system.

Use it to discuss structure and direction. A final hedge book must use licensed data, legal documentation, suitability review, clearing or counterparty terms, and treasury approval.

Live licensed market data
Brokerage, slippage, clearing fees
Freight and port charges
FX, GST/VAT, tax, and working capital
Credit limits and legal suitability checks
Grade premia, impurity penalties, and brand adjustments

Private risk review

Bring the next quarter's ore book. Leave with a hedge decision map.

For decision makers

Procurement, treasury, CFO office, and risk committees.

For margin control

Budget protection, upside participation, and liquidity discipline.

Disclaimer: this website is an educational and advisory demo. It is not investment advice, a solicitation, a regulated brokerage service, or a recommendation to trade derivatives. Any real hedge program requires licensed counterparties, legal review, suitability checks, and independent market data.

Hedge policy review

Send the risk desk a clean mandate snapshot